After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his last win in The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and is recorded at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen choices, you want to find out exactly what SportsLine’s innovative computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has an established track record in multiple sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way have been in his blood, and his version was crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 at Bristol and a couple of the top five at Daytona, simply to name a few. Anyone following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is locked, SportsLine mimicked the occasion 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

One surprising pick from the model for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to triumph at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He’s a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his stellar beginning place of third.

Elliott is still in search of his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He has cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was just 19th in Chicago and 34th at Daytona last month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 miles ) in the last clinics for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the model says he is a popular to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He has had lots of success on road tracks, including winning last year. But he’s a risky choice at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has finished 10th or worse in three of his last six races here. There are better values available within this loaded Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Rather, the version is targeting two enormous underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it wealthy.

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