UFC 236 takes place Saturday night in Atlanta, and you’ll be able to watch the five-fight principal card reside on ESPN+. The card is ripe with exciting fights through the night, but the majority of fans will likely be most-interested in the event’s final two conflicts for the interim middleweight and lightweight titles.
We already have you covered with in-depth betting analysis on the main and co-main event…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that does not mean we still can’t find out a thing or 2 on the night’s additional 11 struggles!
What follows is a short breakdown on every matchup at UFC 236 in an effort to learn enough about every fighter to make a more educated wager on these if your heart desires.
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier was on a war path since returning to lightweight in April, 2015. In general, he has won eight of the last 10 battles and suffered only 1 loss (KO into Michael Johnson) along with one no contest in his first battle against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among active UFC lightweights in striking differential per second at +2.69.
Both Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) ranking among the top-five highest-volume strikers in the total UFC. Holloway’s volume is like an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overpowering as the battle continues.
Holloway’s last fight was arguably the finest championship functionality in UFC history. Overall, his 290 considerable strikes in a fight broke the UFC tournament album.
Holloway opened the week as a -230 favored, but action has come in greatly on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum was able to record at least one knockdown against former champions Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort during his hellacious run during the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two mixtures have been difficult for practically all his opponents do cope with throughout his career.
Israel’The previous Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing winner who has rung up a 16-0 record to begin his mixed martial arts career. He will not need anything related to Gastelum — a state championship wrestler in high school — about the floor, but we have yet to see someone come near out-classing Adesanya around the feet throughout his five UFC wins.
Adesanya started the week as a -175 favored, but has since transferred to -185 behind the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban in Alabama from 2006-2009 before beginning his mixed martial arts profession. These three of Anders’ livelihood losses have come in his last four fights, but these were two split-decision losses combined with a single TKO loss via referee stoppage during his short-notice light heavyweight debut against Thiago Santos, who’ll fight Jon Jones to the branch’s championship in July.
Rountree listed the biggest victory of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but has been subsequently knocked out by increasing contender Johnny Walker past November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it tough for him to win conflicts by any way aside from a finish, and he’s accordingly lost both of his livelihood UFC fights that have made it beyond the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will probably be giving up a five-inch reach advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban throughout his 11-fight UFC career, but he’s 3-1 in fights with a reach benefit of three or more inches. Meanwhile, Grant is 1-1 in the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) and a split-decision loss to Zak Ottow (72-inch achieve ).
The x-factor in this fight could end up being volume. Jouban finds himself one of the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), significant strike precision (No. 7), strikes per second (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has literally never had a struggle go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. Including 10 battles inside the Octagon, that were showcased three wins by TKO/KO and three by entry compared to three declines by submission as well as one by TKO.
This is actually a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round submission. The finish featured Saint Preux’s signature submission: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts enormous elevation (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and reach (77 inches vs. 71) benefits over Frevola, but that advantage could be mitigated if the latter fighter can instigate his takedown-heavy assault. Turner was last observed starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back in UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is presently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his bout with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has dropped three of his past four fights, they have come against a high-level competitors like John Moraga, present flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former winner Demetrious Johnson. The two Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have typical combat times that would indicate we’ll see this battle last into the third round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 odds. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won all eight of the struggles by TKO or KO. He’s making his debut inside the octagon against Max Griffin, who has dropped four of his last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There is a bit of terrible blood here, as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his competitor…
“He is an ass, man. He is not a fantastic guy… I don’t like the guy… I am looking forward to showing him what it is like.”
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven career conflicts (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He will maintain a four-inch height benefit of Taha, who has lost two of his last three fights. Backing Salmon at his early -135 chances was one of my favourite stakes on the card, but he offers a bit of value at his present -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Early Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought only last month in UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, ultimately losing by entry (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad continues to be active, as he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts four and three inch height and reach advantages, respectively, though Muhammad continues to be a lot more of a takedown hazard during his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson opened the week as a -500 favored, but has since moved higher. He’s the largest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a skilled and has been fed to Jackson, who has lost only once in eight career bouts.
Girls Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both of these girls have high striking prices and don’t waste their time getting started. This is very true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest finish in the history of this UFC women’s division back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is just 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will be within the octagon for the first time in his career, while Davis has apparently never fought 135 pounds.
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